Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.085541 0.098876 0.113597 0.131054 0.151191 0.173697 0.200768
2025-12-28 0.066675 0.085146 0.107622 0.136985 0.174357 0.220365 0.281378
2026-01-04 0.055714 0.076295 0.103107 0.140599 0.191717 0.259062 0.354692
2026-01-11 0.048138 0.069783 0.099593 0.143654 0.207196 0.295658 0.428485
2026-01-18 0.041966 0.063911 0.095624 0.144801 0.219255 0.327983 0.499321
2026-01-25 0.036381 0.057906 0.090378 0.142943 0.226063 0.352746 0.561200
2026-02-01 0.031259 0.051798 0.084025 0.138282 0.227549 0.369018 0.611176
2026-02-08 0.028448 0.048932 0.082263 0.140453 0.239778 0.402971 0.692722
2026-02-15 0.025776 0.045910 0.079805 0.141027 0.249180 0.432986 0.770693
2026-02-22 0.023701 0.043626 0.078261 0.142855 0.260724 0.467519 0.859913
2026-03-01 0.021184 0.040229 0.074357 0.139970 0.263436 0.486691 0.923485
2026-03-08 0.019116 0.037400 0.071126 0.137874 0.267214 0.507921 0.992808
2026-03-15 0.017714 0.035700 0.069852 0.139427 0.278247 0.544122 1.095538
2026-03-22 0.017012 0.035291 0.070988 0.145790 0.299347 0.601782 1.247058
2026-03-29 0.016088 0.034316 0.070891 0.149637 0.315779 0.651914 1.388928
2026-04-05 0.015190 0.033281 0.070542 0.152888 0.331278 0.701674 1.535465
2026-04-12 0.014186 0.031898 0.069310 0.154109 0.342567 0.743800 1.670294
2026-04-19 0.013005 0.029987 0.066746 0.152132 0.346652 0.770975 1.775266
2026-04-26 0.011708 0.027665 0.063034 0.147170 0.343511 0.782026 1.845078
2026-05-03 0.011090 0.026833 0.062544 0.149481 0.357155 0.831736 2.009328
2026-05-10 0.010403 0.025759 0.061385 0.150091 0.366866 0.873421 2.159180
2026-05-17 0.009863 0.024978 0.060818 0.152038 0.379946 0.924208 2.336515
2026-05-24 0.009059 0.023450 0.058313 0.148967 0.380414 0.944977 2.441904